The Ledger

Every trading day of each research model, published the evening after settlement. The models are recorded separately. Outcomes are shown as returns only; no positions, names, sizes or account values are shown. Days without a position are shown as such, because the decision not to act is part of the record.

Short-horizon risk

Defined-risk structures in US listed options, held for one session. Return is expressed on the capital at risk that day.

—
Days published
—
Active · positive · negative
—
Mean return on risk
—
Market regime today

Outcome calendar one cell per trading day · green positive · red negative · grey no position

Cumulative return on risk

Day cards the reference index, minute by minute, on each published day

The short side

Short positions in individual equities, with the wider market’s direction offset. Return is expressed on the model’s capital, net of borrowing costs.

—
Days published
—
Positive · negative days
—
Return since start
—
Record begins

Outcome calendar one cell per trading day · green positive · red negative · grey no position

Cumulative return

Defensive positioning

Positions in real assets held for protection against stress in equities, credit and currencies; capital not in use earns the Treasury bill rate. Return is expressed on the model’s capital.

—
Days published
—
Positive · negative days
—
Return since start
—
Record begins

Outcome calendar one cell per trading day · green positive · red negative · grey no position

Cumulative return