Conclusions after the evidence. Never before it.

A research fund running rules-based option strategies on the S&P 500 complex. Every rule is measured on real transaction prices before it trades. Every live trade is recorded against the price it expected.

+24.3%
Per year
real option prices, Jan 2022 to Sep 2026
−7%
Worst drawdown
S&P 500 over the same window: −24%
0.00
Correlation to stocks
daily returns vs the S&P 500
+1.0%
2022 bear market
while the index fell 24.5% to its low
01

Method

Same-day index options, sold as defined-risk ranges around the market's expected move and held to settlement. No directional views. Size comes from a drawdown-constrained Kelly rule on the strategy's own outcome record; whether to trade at all comes from a regime model with explicit re-entry waits, a scheduled-event calendar, and two readings of the market's implied distribution at the open.

02

Evidence

Four and a half years of real option quotes and prints, including the 2022 bear market and every fast selloff since. Nothing synthetic is reported as a return. Time-based exits, volatility forecasters, regime classifiers and a short-side overlay were each tested and rejected; the record of what did not work is kept with the record of what did.

2022 bear market, Jan to Oct lowS&P −24.5% · strategy +1.0%
2025 tariff shock, Feb to AprS&P −18.6% · strategy +1.0%
2024 carry unwind, Jul to AugS&P −7.9% · strategy +1.5%
All 18 five-day selloffs of 4% or moreflat or positive in 16 · worst −0.8%
03

Discipline

Capital at risk is capped per day and the cap is the worst case. One seat is added at a time. Fills are measured, never assumed. A kill switch is one tap away. The public ledger publishes every trading day after settlement, including the days the model chose not to trade.

Read the ledger